Ukraine Update: With modern Western artillery on its way, Ukraine's job is to just hold

Ukraine Update: With modern Western artillery on its way, Ukraine's job is to just hold 1

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The old adage that “if it’s too good to be true, it likely is,” definitely applies in this war, as I spent much of the day trying to verify fantastical claims from both sides. I even had to enlist Mark Sumner at one point to help me sort through one rumor of a major Ukrainian breakthrough toward Mariupol. Turns out, no one is making big sweeping gains. It’s all “lay down artillery until defenders get the f’ out, walk in. Leave when their artillery returns fire.” Rinse, lather, repeat.

Updates: 🇺🇦 troops have entered the outskirts of Rus’ka Lozova. 🇺🇦 confirmed to have secured full control of Kutuzivka. pic.twitter.com/OGFJTlYljP

— Ukraine War Map (@War_Mapper) April 29, 2022

Kutuzivka is a perfect example, as Ukraine claimed to have captured it back in April 8. Then, it was supposedly “partially” liberated on April 17. And here we are, today, confirmed fully captured. Given the heavy shelling in the area, it very well may have gone back and forth for a while. 

Ruska Lozova is on the main highway heading back to Russia, the largest town (pop. ~5,000) before the border. It would allow Ukraine to hit Kozacha Lopan up north on the border from three sides. Ukraine suffered heavy losses just a few days ago trying to take that town.

I am curious why Ukraine is pushing so hard north of Kharkiv. Russia can sit on its own side of the border and shell Kharkiv with impunity, so I suspect it’s not about protecting the city, but the supply routes that flow to the south and south east—a way to prevent an exposed “Chuhuiv salient” as Ukraine pushes east toward the Russian supply hub of Kupiansk. By clearing the north, there’s no left flank to worry about.

It could also be a simple, emotional “get the f’ out of my land” effort. But given the limited scope of Ukraine’s offensive abilities at the moment, I doubt they’d waste them on symbolic gestures. Let’s head down south:

🇷🇺 advanced West of Kherson moving North-West from Molodets’ke, managing to reach and capture Tavrijs´ke. They were eventually stopped at Nova Zorya. 🇷🇺 forces recently took Oleksandrivka but have once again withdrawn and there are 🇺🇦 troops present in the settlement. pic.twitter.com/sNfXf0FcuL

— Ukraine War Map (@War_Mapper) April 29, 2022

I spent way too much time trying to confirm the Oleksandrivka news before posting this. The terrain in the area is flat, open, and exposed. Look at the picture at the top of this story. That’s here. So one side lays down heavy artillery, drives out exposed defenders. That side waltzes in. But oh shit! The other side is now returning fire! So troops withdraw, and the other side moseys back in. So wait, who is in control of the town? No one, that’s who. 

Oleksandrivka presents another challenge—it’s one of the most popular town name in Ukraine, with over 100 of them. At least four are in contested areas. There’s this one in Kerhson Oblast. But head north from Kherson toward Kryvyi Rih, and there’s another one. These two are a real pain to keep straight.

Then there’s the two Oleksandrivkas near Izyum, on the Donbas front, one straight north, the other to its southwest. 

Ukraine Update: With modern Western artillery on its way, Ukraine's job is to just hold 2

I swear I’ve also seen one east of Izyum, and there’s likely several. So anytime someone reports “fighting in Oleksandrivka,” I groan and throw my hands up in the air. 

Anyway, looks like the one west of Kherson is back in Ukrainian hands after falling to Russia yesterday, which had been pushed out the day before, etc. Given how these battles are shaping up, don’t get overly invested in who holds what. It’s all fluid outside of key locations like Izyum, Kherson, Kharkiv, etc.

That’s the north and south, so what about the Donbas front in the west? Ukraine fended off nine separate attacks. Maybe there’s a big massive Russian offensive brewing somewhere, ready to be unleashed on Ukrainian lines on the Donbas front. I remain forever skeptical.

There is one change we’ve seen to Russian tactics: “The concentrated use of artillery by Russian forces in eastern Ukraine in April is one of the few major changes Russia has made to its operations compared to the early weeks of the war.” Before, Russia would send a bunch of kids to die against entrenched Ukrainian defenders. Now, those defensive positions are first shelled before Russia sends those kids to die. Most of the time, Ukrainian defenders remain, but every once in a while Russia gets lucky, the artillery does its job and clears out an area, and Russia can creep up a kilometer or two. 

Given that around 5,000 square miles of Donbas territory remain in Ukraine’s hands, does anyone truly believes this is a winning strategy? Ukraine’s job is to hold their strongholds at Slovyansk (pop. 111,000) and Kramatorsk (pop. 157,000), while Russia burns through their troops, equipment, and ammunition in time for those sweet Western artillery guns to make their way to the front.

Ukraine Update: With modern Western artillery on its way, Ukraine's job is to just hold 3

As of now, Russia has a long way to go before directly threatening those two cities. Heck, a chunk of Russian forces are heading west of Izyum, in the wrong direction! You know those network of defenses that have held on the border with separatist Donbas? There’s a lot more of that around Slovyansk and Karamtorsk, and that’s before Russians even think about entering those cities, which would be its own special kind of hell. 

Another 4-6 weeks, maybe, and then we can start talking about Season Three of this war.

Meanwhile, the breakaway Russian-held territory of Transnistria in Moldova is on the verge of calling a general mobilization, blocking all military-age men from leaving the territory. Both Transnistria and Moldova don’t look to have have military forces worth a damn, and the 2-3,000 Russians stationed there wouldn’t be enough to seriously threaten Moldova. But the destruction of a Ukrainian bridge south of Odesa opens up an interesting possibility: Is Russia planning an amphibious assault? 

Ukraine Update: With modern Western artillery on its way, Ukraine's job is to just hold 4

By blowing the bridge, Ukraine wouldn’t be able to defend an attack on Moldova from the sea, though I doubt it would be interested in trying anyway. Ukraine is sort of busy at the moment. Of more interest would be the chance to take out yet another landing ship, but this one full of Russian naval infantry. Ukraine doesn’t need that bridge to threaten any landing effort. 

Would Russia really be stupid enough to open up yet another front, spreading out its troops even further, and risk additional naval losses, for a logistically unsupported assault on a piece of land with zero value to the current war effort in Ukraine? Russia’s naval infantry is already heavily committed (and heavily attrited) in Mariupol. Meanwhile, don’t forget that in addition to losing their flagship Moskva guided missile cruiser, Russia also lost two landing ships in that “accident” in Berdyansk, offloading their gear for land operations after giving up on their Odesa dreams. Russia can’t reinforce either, with the Black Sea closed to military traffic by Turkey. 

So is Russia that stupid? Doubtful. I’m guessing it’s pay-ops, destabilizing Moldova and keeping Ukrainian troops in the Odesa region on alert. Given the resources at their disposal, I just don’t see it physically possible for Russia to do this, no matter how much its generals may want to. 


Friday, Apr 29, 2022 · 3:58:08 AM +00:00

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kos

Kerry and I talked Ukraine and spoke with Wisconsin Democratic Party chair Ben Willer on how hitting back at Republicans helps win elections

With around 1 million downloads over the past month, The Brief is now ranked 33rd globally in podcasts, and top-100 among all podcasts in the U.S. Yeah, this has nothing to do with Ukraine, but I wanted to brag about it anyway! Please like and subscribe if you’re into these things.


Friday, Apr 29, 2022 · 3:58:56 AM +00:00

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kos

This was a very interesting community story, using Google street view to take a look at the terrain Ukraine is defending in the Donbas front.


Friday, Apr 29, 2022 · 4:27:09 AM +00:00

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kos

Intercepted Russian phone call between soldier and his buddy:

“That’s totally f*cked up! Our guys are simply killed in packs, I’ve never seen so many corpses,” the soldier tells his friend during the conversation.

“We left Chornobaivka, it’s a real hell there! So many of our guys have died there that you can’t even imagine. We’re f*cked here in a way that cannot be put into words.”

The SBU noted that the invader’s friend was so “brain-washed” by Russian propaganda that he could not believe it. According to the correspondence, he is already waiting for “captured” Kyiv by May 9, because it was said “on TV in the news.”

“Who gives a f*ck about Kyiv? How do I get home? I’d like to at least survive here. When I saw how my friend was torn apart, I was vomiting for about half an hour. I’ve never felt so bad before,” the invader said.

If you recall, Chornobaivka is the home of Kherson’s international airport. This is where two Russian generals were killed, and where over a dozen helicopters and tons of equipment were destroyed by Ukrainian MLRS fire … after Ukraine had done the same a few days prior. 

Sen. Ben Ray Luján says he's close to making full recovery from stroke: 'I’m feeling strong'

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New Mexico Sen. Ben Ray Luján said he’s close to making a full recovery from his stroke this past January. “I’m feeling strong,” he said, according to the Associated Press. Luján made the remarks during a visit last week to a local high school to discuss mental health support. “I’m still not 100%, but I think I’m over 90%.”

Luján was out for roughly a month following his stroke, saying in mid-February that he planned to complete his recovery at an in-patient rehabilitation facility following his discharge from the University of New Mexico Hospital. The junior senator had also undergone surgery to ease swelling on his brain.

Listen to a breakdown of the May primaries on Daily Kos Elections’ The Downballot podcast with David Nir and David Beard

”Now, rest assured, New Mexicans can know they will have a voice and a vote during this process,” he said at the time. “That has never changed. Now throughout my recovery, my Senate office has remained open, and we’ve been working to provide constituent services throughout New Mexico during this entire time.” 

Luján had also pledged to return in time to consider the nomination of President Biden’s Supreme Court nominee. He made it back on March 3, to a standing ovation from the Senate Commerce Committee. An emotional Luján thanked his Senate colleagues for their prayers, saying “it worked.”

Senator Ben Ray Luján receives a standing ovation upon his return to the Senate. .@SenatorCantwell: “Senator Luján, so good to see you.”@SenatorLujan: “It’s an absolute honor to be back!” pic.twitter.com/3q2rYR1eIk

— CSPAN (@cspan) March 3, 2022

The president had the week prior announced that he’d selected Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson as his nominee to replace associate justice Stephen Breyer. On April 7, Luján voted to confirm her.

“Over the course of Judge Jackson’s historic confirmation hearings, she carried herself with poise, dignity, and resolve,” he said. “Even Republican Senators recognized Judge Jackson as a deeply qualified and knowledgeable jurist, as seen in their remarks and the bipartisan confirmation vote today.” He said that “as the first Black woman on the Supreme Court, I know that she will continue to serve as an inspiration to countless Americans.”

Luján made the remarks on his recovery during a joint visit with Education Sec. Miguel Cardona. Luján called the spike in mental health distress among youth “heartbreaking,” but told students “how inspired I am by your strength and courage—and that it’s okay to ask for help or reach out to someone who may be struggling.”

“The Senator also discussed the COVID-19 relief funding he delivered through the American Rescue Plan and other legislation that increased federal support for schools to meet students’ mental health needs and respond to the pandemic,” his office said.

Madison Cawthorn's latest misadventure points up the hypocrisy (and inadequacy) of our gun laws

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Thanks to Republicans, you can bring guns just about anywhere these days. “Good guys” with guns are ubiquitous, as are bad guys with guns. And morally ambiguous guys with guns. And teenagers. And toddlers. And dudes in windowless white vans who’ll give you a discount on a George Foreman grill if you’ll have just one beer with them. And maybe just a skosh of black tar heroin. Come on, you know you want to.

Of course, ours is arguably the last country on Earth that should be awash in guns. We’re a little on edge, in case you hadn’t noticed. And yet we’ve become so blasé about gun ownership, we’ve started to see a rash of gun seizures at airports—and not just among Republican congressmen.

Unless you’ve been hiding under a rock or getting all your information from Fox News (granted, those two are functionally equivalent), you know that North Carolina Rep. Madison Cawthorn was recently cited for bringing a loaded handgun to the Charlotte Douglas International Airport. It was his second such offense. He’s also scheduled to appear in court next month for allegedly driving with a revoked license.

Madison Cawthorn is facing a primary this coming month. Listen to a breakdown of the May primaries on Daily Kos Elections’ The Downballot podcast with David Nir and David Beard

As a serial lawbreaker, one might think Cawthorn would face the same kind of heat as the lowly plebs who have also conveniently “forgotten” about the guns in their meticulously curated carryons and found themselves in handcuffs. Like this guy. Or this one. Or this one. Or this lady. Or this one. And those are just from this month.

Or maybe, since Cawthorn is in Congress, the klieg lights should be trained upon his and his compatriots’ relentless efforts to turn our country into a giant Insane Clown Posse mosh pit with unlimited ordnance.

In fact, one political party is extrapolating exactly that lesson from Cawthorn’s latest misadventures. I’ll give you one guess which one.

CNBC:

A pair of House Democrats urged the Transportation Security Administration on Thursday to crack down on the growing threat of firearms at airports, days after a Republican congressman was caught bringing a gun to a TSA checkpoint.

[…]

“Members of Congress on both sides of the aisle agree that those who break the law and endanger the safety of other passengers — and especially repeat offenders such as Rep. Cawthorn — must be held to account,” read the letter from Homeland Security Committee Chairman Bennie Thompson, D-Miss., and transportation subcommittee Chairwoman Bonnie Watson Coleman, D-N.J.

“TSA must pursue appropriate action without fear or favor against all such offenders, regardless of whether they are public figures such as Rep. Cawthorn,” they wrote.

While policies on whether or not to arrest these offenders vary by state, and even city, one lawyer CNBC spoke with hinted that Cawthorn did receive the kid-glove treatment in the wake of his alleged violation. Brad Smith, a Charlotte, North Carolina, criminal defense attorney, said at Charlotte Douglas, such violators are typically arrested at the scene.

“More often than not you’re taken to jail, and booked,” Smith said. “The DA’s office absolutely prosecutes those cases.” 

And they should prosecute this one, too; if they do, Cawthorn faces up to 60 days in jail for his misdemeanor charge. But even more important than prosecuting offenders like Cawthorn is rousting him and his fellow gun fetishists from Congress. Because until we do, we’re going to continue to see alarming news items—like this one from February:

With a surge in guns being discovered at airport checkpoints, some security experts are suggesting higher fines and even putting violators on a no-fly list to prevent firearms from getting on planes.

Airport screeners found 5,972 guns at checkpoints last year, easily breaking a record set in 2019 despite a drop in air travel, and 86% of those guns were loaded, according to the Transportation Security Administration.

Guns seizures are rising as airlines report record numbers of disruptive passengers on flights. Together, that “makes for a toxic combination,” Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, D-N.J., said Tuesday.

Since travelers caught with guns tend to claim they “forgot” they had loaded weapons tucked in with their tiny toiletries, TSA leaders continue to point out how irresponsible that is, from the Garden State

“Claiming to forget that you have a gun with you is inexcusable,” Thomas Carter, TSA’s Federal Security Director for New Jersey, said in a statement. “If you own a gun you need to know where it is at all times.”

—to the Old Dominion.

“The regulation preventing the carrying of guns onto planes has been in place for decades, so this is nothing new,” said Robin “Chuck” Burke, TSA’s Federal Security Director for the [Norfolk, Virginia] airport.

[…]

“Forgetting that you have a loaded handgun in your possession is a careless mistake to make, especially when you are headed to the airport for a flight,” said Burke.

Sadly, Republicans are more likely to impeach President Joe Biden for trying to sneak through airport security in a tan suit than pass sensible gun-control laws, even if those laws would be vital to maintaining airport security. 

Then again, when was the last time Republicans came out for anything other than chaos?

It made comedian Sarah Silverman say, “THIS IS FUCKING BRILLIANT,” and prompted author Stephen King to shout “Pulitzer Prize!!!” (on Twitter, that is). What is it? The viral letter that launched four hilarious Trump-trolling books. Get them all, including the finale, Goodbye, Asshat: 101 Farewell Letters to Donald Trump, at this link. Or, if you prefer a test drive, you can download the epilogue to Goodbye, Asshat for the low, low price of FREE

New poll reveals GOP voters are actually pretty cool with racist, homophobic, antisemitic candidates

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Sometimes you get confirmation of something you already knew and it still makes you want to vomit your small intestines down a storm sewer. Ever wonder why there are so many racist, homophobic, antisemitic, and transphobic GOP candidates? Because GOP voters love ‘em, that’s why! Occam’s razor cuts pretty deep sometimes, doesn’t it?

The latest Morning Consult/Politico poll surveyed voters of all stripes and found, among other horrors, that a full 62% of Republicans are more or less cool with candidates who are accused of making racist remarks.

And that’s not all! They’re also bigger fans of domestic violence, sexual misconduct, homophobia, and antisemitism than Democrats and independents are. 

Here’s a quick summary.

Morning Consult/Politico If a candidate is accused of ___ is it a major problem? Sexual misconduct: 83% of Dems say yes 77% Ind 66% Republicans Domestic violence: 81 D 74 I 67 R Racist remarks: 80 D 59 I 38 R Homophobic remarks 71 D 50 I 25 R Antisemitism 71 D 61 I 47 R

— Sam Stein (@samstein) April 27, 2022

For the nontweeters:

Morning Consult/Politico

If a candidate is accused of ___ is it a major problem?

Sexual misconduct:
83% of Dems say yes
77% Ind
66% Republicans

Domestic violence:
81 D
74 I
67 R

Racist remarks:
80 D
59 I
38 R

Homophobic remarks
71 D
50 I
25 R

Antisemitism
71 D
61 I
47 R

The party of personal responsibility and family values, right?

Of course, judging by Donald Trump’s vote totals in the past two presidential elections, it’s safe to assume that at least 98% of the 38% of Republicans who claim to be bothered by racist remarks also told Morning Consult their favorite pastime is lying to pollsters.

It would also be interesting to see what these numbers were before Trump decided to start devouring old-school Republicans’ souls like so much Fiddle Faddle. Perhaps the cognitive dissonance was simply too much for the 34% of Republicans who think sexual misconduct is no biggie, and they decided to be honest for once. But wait, you’re telling me racism may actually be a selling point for GOP candidates? Here I thought all those white Rust Belt voters were flocking to Trump because of Kanye West

By the way, you’ll be shocked to learn that only 26% of Republicans would consider it a major problem if a candidate was accused of making transphobic remarks. I’m surprised it’s that high, honestly.

They say it’s important to know your enemy. I’d like to amend that slightly: It’s important to know your enemies, but not so well that you can’t control your vomit reflex when you’re driving to the polls to vote them out. I sincerely hope this news hasn’t pushed you over that edge, because we need your vote. 

It made comedian Sarah Silverman say, “THIS IS FUCKING BRILLIANT,” and prompted author Stephen King to shout “Pulitzer Prize!!!” (on Twitter, that is). What is it? The viral letter that launched four hilarious Trump-trolling books. Get them all, including the finale, Goodbye, Asshat: 101 Farewell Letters to Donald Trump, at this link. Or, if you prefer a test drive, you can download the epilogue to Goodbye, Asshat for the low, low price of FREE

Caribbean Matters: Yes, Puerto Rico is a U.S. colony

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Watching responses to the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision in the case of United States v. Vaello Madero, where the only dissent came from Associate Justice Sonia Sotomayor, was painful. While legal scholars wrote a raft of opinion pieces on why or why not the decision was or wasn’t correct, all I could think of was the 1899 illustration from Puck, posted above, which I used to show my students back when I was still teaching a college course on the Caribbean. 

The Library of Congress description of the graphic describes the scene:

“Print shows Uncle Sam as a teacher, standing behind a desk in front of his new students who are labeled “Cuba, Porto [i.e. Puerto] Rico, Hawaii, [and] Philippines”; they do not look happy to be there. At the rear of the classroom are students holding books labeled “California, Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, [and] Alaska”. At the far left, an African American boy cleans the windows, and in the background, a Native boy sits by himself, reading an upside-down book labeled “ABC”, and a Chinese boy stands just outside the door. A book on Uncle Sam’s desk is titled “U.S. First Lessons in Self-Government.”

The racism encapsulated in the illustration is patently obvious. While Uncle Sam is portrayed as adult white father and teacher, colonized people are depicted as squirming and uncomfortable children, with racial stereotypes including menial labor, pigtails, bare feet, and feathers thrown in for good measure. 

Caribbean Matters is a weekly series from Daily Kos. If you are unfamiliar with the region, check out Caribbean Matters: Getting to know the countries of the Caribbean.

I don’t remember ever being taught about the Insular Cases in school. I learned about them when studying Puerto Rican history outside of the classroom, as an activist for Puerto Rican independence. I wonder if readers here had the same schoolroom experience I did.

Back in 2017, Doug Mack wrote this story for Slate which describes the Insular Cases’ history.

How a series of racist Supreme Court decisions cemented the island’s second-class status.

The devastation wrought by Hurricanes Irma and Maria has reawakened many Americans to the existence of Puerto Rico as well as the archaic laws and domineering bureaucracies that continue to burden the island. News outlets have scrambled to explain the Jones Act, the 1920 law that restricts shipping between U.S. ports, the PROMESA board that Congress set up last year to oversee Puerto Rico’s finances, and the fact that territory residents can’t vote for president.

But beneath these data points lurks something deeper and more problematic, yet rarely discussed: the Insular Cases, a series of Supreme Court decisions from the early 20th century. When we talk about the differences between states and territories—and when we ask why the United States even has territories in 2017—we’re really talking about the legacy of the Insular Cases. The recent controversies are, in fact, the latest iteration of a conversation about American empire that goes back more than a century.

The earliest Insular Cases were decided by the same Supreme Court that allowed “separate but equal” segregation in Plessy v. Ferguson in 1896. That case was overturned, but the Insular Cases, which are built on the same racist worldview, still stand today. Legal scholars disagree about how many Insular Cases there are—some say six; others include more than two dozen—but the general view is that they begin with Downes v. Bidwell in 1901. Up to then, the U.S. government considered territories to have the complete protection of the Constitution and a clear, straightforward path to statehood. This was true for all of the territories that existed on the North American continent at the time—Oklahoma, New Mexico, Arizona, and Alaska. But as the new century dawned, the federal government’s definition of what it meant to be a territory was shifting rapidly, as manifest destiny morphed into empire-building. President William McKinley and other leaders of the day aimed to bolster U.S. global stature by following the template of European powers: controlling the oceans by controlling islands, holding them not as equals but as colonies, as possessions.

Social justice activist Debbie Pérez conducted the following hour-long interview with attorney, activist, and co-host of the Radio Independencia podcast Andrés González Berdecía last year. This interview was conducted in English; much of the information and discussions around Puerto Rico, from a Puerto Rican perspective, are in Spanish. This essentially limits the information to only Spanish speakers, but many Puerto Ricans in the diaspora don’t speak the language, much like a vast majority of mainland citizens.

Berdecía explains the history of not only the Insular Cases, but the Jones Act, which granted Puerto Ricans U.S. citizenship. He also points out that some of the best constitutional lawyers both here and in Puerto Rico haven’t studied or been taught about the Insular Cases in depth. 

When I was teaching, most of my students didn’t think of the U.S. as a colonial power; our “colonies” are dubbed “territories,” further obfuscating the political reality. Yet most of us here in the U.S. who have been watching the the disastrous Caribbean tours of the British royals—like this one covered here last month—have no problem describing the nations visited as “former British colonies.”

I think it’s time for the Royal Family to review any form of tour to Commonwealth countries. The mood has clearly changed and people are no longer happy to somewhat celebrate colonism which is what royal tours represent. https://t.co/BIss36m687

— Lorraine King (@lorrainemking) April 24, 2022

The UK royalty continues clueless ‘charm’ visits to its former colonies in the Caribbean. The PM of Antigua and Barbuda asked to discuss reparations for slavery. Instead, Prince Edward busied himself by presenting photographs of himself and his wife.https://t.co/GeiF64FWsB

— Sasha Alyson 🌍🌏🌎 Karma Colonialism (@TrojanAid) April 26, 2022

Now if only Americans could only get used to using “colony”—and understanding what that means—when we talk about our government’s relationship to Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Guam, not to mention the rarely mentioned Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands and American Samoa.

Erica Gonzalez, director of Power 4 Puerto Rico, which bills itself as “a national coalition of the Puerto Rican Diaspora and allies working full-time and year-round for federal policies and legislation that will support Puerto Rico’s just recovery, economic growth and self-sufficiency,” has no problem using the “C” word.

It’s often assumed that all Puerto Ricans are clamoring for U.S. statehood. That’s simply not true; as Gonzalez notes below, that’s a “colonizer mindset.”

If you are not Puerto Rican and your tweets sound like this 👇 ❌”I think #PuertoRico should be _” ❌”Let’s make Puerto Rico a _” Then you are reinforcing a colonizer mindset. Don’t be that person. pic.twitter.com/1E5NgUMFlw

— Erica G. (@EG10029) September 20, 2020

Puerto Rico and its citizens should get to choose for themselves what happens next—known as self-determination. Activist Maricarmen Gutiérrez of CASA wrote about it just this week in a Daily Kos Community story. 

Even though slavery was abolished in the 19th century in the United States, it is dismaying to know that here in the 21st century, an entire country – my country – can be a possession of another country. That we can’t decide our destiny. No matter how many local governments you choose, your sovereignty is kidnapped.

To our surprise, there is a bill in Congress, HR2070, to decolonize Puerto Rico. This bill binds Congress in that process. It is not a perfect bill, but it has achieved the approval of important sectors in Puerto Rico, including all the existing political parties. The United States Congress denies that Puerto Rico is a colony. The existence of such a project – a new law to be passed which would allow Puerto Ricans to control their own political destiny – exposes this lie. This bill gives us hope, but we’ve seen sparks of hope fail to catch fire before.

If you are wondering what you can do to support the movement for self-determination for Puerto Rico, consider sending emails to Congress.

Today, all it takes to chart an end to colonialism & support #SelfDetermination for Puerto Rico: Hitting send on an email to Congress (it’s already written!)👇🏾https://t.co/zjpcKsgplc We’re about halfway to our goal — every single email matters! #HR2070 #DignifiedDecolonization pic.twitter.com/878O3sillM

— ¡VOTARÉ! (@VOTARE_org) April 26, 2022

The Puerto Rico Self-Determination Act (introduced in both the House and the Senate) has diverse support.

Have 28 seconds? Check out who’s in support of the Puerto Rico Self-Determination Act (#HR2070). We think you’ll recognize some of these names and orgs… pic.twitter.com/dRrKCNb08v

— ¡VOTARÉ! (@VOTARE_org) April 22, 2022

Join me in the comments section below for more on Puerto Rico and for the weekly Caribbean Twitter Roundup.

GOP targets ballot initiatives with more than 80 voting bills to suppress process

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Journalist Spenser Mestel tweeted a photo on Wednesday of South Dakota Democrat Rueben Engelhart holding a 2018 ballot measure petition that stretched from his chin to his shins. “Per a new law in South Dakota, canvassers must collect signatures on the same single sheet of paper as the full text of the initiative — and the font can be no smaller than size 14,” Mestel said in the tweet. “It’s part of a wider Republican-led war on ballot initiatives.”

Gov. Kristi Noem signed legislation requiring the larger font size into law last year, and South Dakota Republicans as well as those in about a dozen other states are hardly stopping there when it comes to restricting the ballot initiative process. 

RELATED STORY: Explainer: What is a ballot initiative?

“After progressive issues like minimum wage won at the ballot in 2016 and 2018, you started to see an increase in state legislatures trying to make them less accessible,” says @Fieldsy, ED of @BallotStrategy

— Spenser Mestel (@SpenserMestel) April 27, 2022

Last year alone, 146 bills were introduced to restrict that process, according to the Ballot Initiative Strategy Center, a liberal advocacy organization. “After progressive issues like #MinimumWage won at the ballot in 2016 and 2018, you started to see an increase in state legislatures trying to make them less accessible,” Chris Melody Fields, executive director of the organization, tweeted.

Listen to a breakdown of the May primaries on Daily Kos Elections’ The Downballot podcast with David Nir and David Beard

In 2016, voters in Arizona, Colorado, Maine, and Washington pushed through ballot measures to raise the minimum wage by such a degree that at least 2 million Americans were due raises by 2020, The Atlantic reported. Major win.

A ballot measure to lower the minimum wage for employees in South Dakota under the age of 18 who do not receive tips was rejected by more than 70% of voters in 2016, the Associated Press reported. Another win.

The GOP didn’t, however, take the losses silently.

The Ballot Initiative Strategy Center is monitoring 87 bills that aim “to change the ballot measure process or block ballot measure implementation in 13 states,” the organization reported. The organization identified Arkansas, Arizona, Florida, Missouri, and South Dakota as “top states to watch.”

This year, Arizona voters will consider imposing both a “single subject rule” requiring each ballot initiative to address only one topic, and a repeal of the Voter Protection Act, “a 24 year old law which protects ballot measures from being altered by legislators after they are approved by voters,” according to the Ballot Initiative Strategy Center.

Here’s what the center reported on Florida and Missouri:

Florida: Following the trend of their 2021 legislative session, Florida legislators have introduced bills intended to dilute direct democracy from a few different angles: (a) by making the signature collection process more onerous and more confusing, (b) by severely limiting the subjects voters can consider at the ballot, and by limiting campaign contributions during the signature gathering process.

Missouri: The legislature has introduced nearly two dozen attacks on the initiative process as of March 1, 2022. These attacks are designed to curtail Missourian’s initiative and referendum rights in a variety of ways, including raising the voter approval threshold, increasing the signature collection requirements, expanding the geographic signature collection requirements,  increasing the fees to file signatures, creating new ways signatures can be invalidated, and even making the processes indirect by giving the legislature say over what voters propose. After failing to pass attacks last year, Missouri legislators are even more determined to undermine the people’s tool this year.

Mestel tweeted that legislators are trying to raise the threshold for a measure to pass to 60% in Arizona and 66% in Missouri. “And when initiatives succeed, lawmakers don’t always listen,” he continued. “After FL voters raised the minimum wage, legislators tried to create a ‘sub-minimum’ wage for service workers.”

That bill failed, but a vital takeaway remains: Where there is a Republican will, there will be a suppressive way. The only real, long-term solution is to vote them out of office.

Roger Stone announces he’s back on Musk’s Twitter—is banned again in record time

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Roger Stone is back! Nope. I spoke too soon! It seems that Roger Stone created a new Twitter account on Thursday morning, announcing he was back from his lifetime suspension. Stone seems to have been under the impression that Elon Musk’s impending take over of Twitter and all of the solipsism Musk represents meant that “free speech” speech talk included him coming back onto the social media platform that banned him back in 2017.

According to the Daily Beast, Stone took to Telegram to write, “Well bitches I’m back on Twitter.” He added, “I’m anxious to see how strong Elon Musk’s commitment to free speech is.” It took Twitter a little while to make sure that @RogerStoneUSA was indeed connected to the odiously pardoned criminal. After they did that, Twitter banned Roger Stone again.

Reporter Zachary Petrizzo followed the fastest story in the West today.

Roger Stone has yet again been suspended. pic.twitter.com/lGWBBDQrDs

— Zachary Petrizzo (@ZTPetrizzo) April 28, 2022

A Twitter spokesperson told the Beast: “The account referenced was permanently suspended for violations of the Twitter Rules, specifically our ban evasion policy.”

Stone told the outlet, “I posted a new account to prove a point. I look forward to whoever made the decision to suspend my account getting fired. Attn: Elon Musk.” Only the best people.

pic.twitter.com/zQFElLemOt

— Jay O’Brien (@jayobtv) April 28, 2022

Star Wars!

pic.twitter.com/NKDJcbTq6J

— Vashti Vale (@VashtiVale42) April 28, 2022

Don’t let the door …

pic.twitter.com/gjdmSvaEm4

— John Panzer (@jpanzer) April 28, 2022

And a classic.

pic.twitter.com/Fbr3dFYQVp

— Eubie (@pitbull_mom4) April 28, 2022

Listen to Markos and Kerry Eleveld talk Ukraine and speak with Wisconsin Democratic Party Chair Ben Wikler on how hitting back at Republicans helps win elections on Daily Kos’ The Brief podcast

Herschel Walker didn’t just hawk COVID-19 spray; he’s spent decades touting unproven health products

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In addition to his “dry mist” COVID-19 spray, Georgia GOP Senate candidate Herschel Walker has had other health products he’s promoted over the years. The problem is, the science-based health community—and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)—have doubts about their efficacy.

The Daily Beast found an August 2020 interview in which Walker told right-wing talk show host Glenn Beck about the new FDA-approved “spray” that kills COVID on contact.

“I probably shouldn’t tell you,” Walker says. “Do you know right now, I have something that [you can bring] into a building, that will clean you of COVID, as you walk through this, this dry mist?”

But the COVID-curing spray isn’t the only product the former Heisman Trophy winner has touted. There’s also Aloe-Lu-Ya, an aloe vera-based health drink launched via Walmart in 1999, according to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. It was deemed a “commercial failure,” as reported in an SEC filing.

RELATED STORY: No big shocker to learn that Herschel Walker hawked ‘dry mist’ spray to ‘clean’ you of COVID-19

AS reported by the AJC, when Aloe-Lu-Ya failed, Walker rebranded through another company with a plant extract drink called Sunutra. This time the claims were that the “phytonutrients” in the drink could ward off a slew of diseases, “including cancer, heart disease, diabetes, high blood pressure, stroke, urinary tract infections and more,” the SEC filing reads.

Listen and subscribe to Daily Kos Elections’ The Downballot podcast with David Nir and David Beard

The company was also forced to admit to the SEC that these “beliefs” were “not supported by medical evidence generally accepted by the medical community.”

Maureen Meister, a registered dietician and lab researcher at Georgia State University, told the AJC: “It certainly isn’t going to prevent disease. … Certainly, it can slow it, but it won’t be a magic pill.”

In 2014, Walker partnered with multi-level marketing-based company Livio International as a spokesperson for an anti-aging creme, AJC reports.

I Look forward to seeing everyone at the Livio Launch Event this weekend! Proud to be part of the Livio Cares Foundation. @LivioCommunity

— Herschel Walker (@HerschelWalker) April 11, 2014

Four years later, Walker was hawking Novagen, a testosterone-building supplement to help “push back time against time” in the “locker room,” the “boardroom,” or “even the bedroom.”

Then there’s the latest COVID-19 spray.

“When you leave—it will kill the virus as you leave, this here product,” Walker told Beck, adding that he has a second unspecified miracle product, a “spray” possibly indicated for use after the dry mist treatment.

“They don’t want to talk about that. They don’t want to hear about that,” Walker says. “And I’m serious.”

The two-time Pro Bowl champion running back refused to say whether or not he’s been vaccinated or boosted, but of course, he continues to poll high among Republicans.

According to an April 7 The Hill/Emerson College poll, Walker is leading Sen. Raphael Warnock 49% to 45%.

Georgia Public Broadcasting (GPB) has reported that Walker’s personal financial disclosures continue to be murky.

Walker’s net worth is between $29 million and $65 million, GPB reports. And his income from the end of 2020 to the end of 2021 was reportedly $4 million.

One example of Walker’s possibly opaque reporting comes from Stephen Spaulding, a senior adviser at Common Cause, a government watchdog organization.

“According to this candidate’s financial disclosure form, no person or entity paid more than $5,000 for any services provided by him—at the same time, he disclosed an interest in an LLC valued at more than $25 million and that provides ‘business consulting and professional services,’” Spaulding told GPB. “This may raise questions for voters trying to screen for conflicts of interest who want to know more about who got what from the consulting and professional consulting firm that bears his name and pays him millions in shareholder income.”

'Get me some of those taco eaters': This ICE program empowers terrible sheriffs to be even worse

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While President Joe Biden pledged as a candidate that he would terminate all 287(g) agreements entered into by the previous administration, that pledge has largely remained unfulfilled. This is the very problematic Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) program that allows local law enforcement to cosplay as mass deportation agents.

But a deeply troubling report this week should give the administration all the reasons it needs to act. The American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) said that a review revealed at least 59% of participating sheriffs have records of racist, anti-immigrant rhetoric, including one North Carolina sheriff who demanded his deputies “go out there and get me some of those taco eaters.”

The ACLU said that while ICE terminated Sheriff Terry Johnson’s 287(g) contract following a 2012 lawsuit from Justice Department, he won it back under the insurrectionist administration.

RELATED STORY: Immigrant communities describe ‘relief’ after Georgia sheriffs terminate ICE agreements

“From the beginning, ICE signed 287(g) agreements with sheriffs who ran on anti-immigrant campaign platforms and sought to participate in the program as a ‘political trophy in local anti-immigration campaigns,’” the report said. These arrangements also far precede the insurrectionist administration, with ICE entering into a 2007 agreement with Rogers, Arkansas, after it was sued for illegally harassing Latino residents.

What can Biden do? Listen to immigration activist Juan Escalante on Daily Kos’ The Brief podcast

“ICE signed an agreement with Frederick County, Maryland Sheriff Charles (‘Chuck’) Jenkins in 2008 after he ran on an anti-immigrant platform that included a warning that ‘aliens’ were moving to Frederick County from Northern Virginia—and a pledge that he would ‘shoot them right back,’” the report continued.

Jenkins also claimed that “the single biggest threat to our country is the immigration problem.” But if you’re Latino and in Frederick County, the biggest threat is more likely Jenkins. Just last year, he was forced to apologize to a Latina racially profiled by his department. Sara Haidee Aleman Medrano was pulled over for a supposed broken taillight that actually wasn’t broken at all. Deputies then contacted ICE. Under the settlement, the county also agreed to pay the harassed woman $125,000.

The ACLU noted that the Obama administration took decisive action to begin winding down 287(g) agreements, with Congress slashing the program’s funding by nearly half. “By the end of the Obama administration, only 34 local agencies remained in the program.” 

So, so close. But the next administration “exponentially expanded the 287(g) program, leaving it five times bigger by the end of its term and responsible for two and a half times as many deportations as before,” the report said. The ACLU said that as the insurrectionist administration was publicly appealing to anti-immigrant sheriffs to join the program, it was also “dropping civil rights investigations into local law enforcement agencies and even publicly encouraging police brutality.”

Sheriffs have campaigned, and won, on ending these racist agreements. In Cobb County, Georgia, immigrant communities have said they’ve been able to breathe a little easier. “They say it’s a relief, that they can leave their homes with less stress, knowing they will be able to come back at the end of the day and have dinner with their family and see their kids,” Georgia Latino Alliance for Human Rights’ Adelina Nicholls told The Atlanta Journal-Constitution earlier this year.

However, during a hearing last summer, the president’s nominee to head ICE, Harris County Sheriff Ed Gonzalez, indicated it would not be his intent to end this program. But to continue this policy would go against the president’s pledge to usher in a more humane immigration system. In its recommendations, the ACLU said the Biden administration should end the program entirely, beginning with the more than 50 agencies identified as having particularly egregious records. 

Naureen Shah, senior legislative counsel for the ACLU, said in a statement received by Daily Kos that by continuing these agreements, “President Biden is sending a message that he sanctions and approves of these abuses.”

“The Biden administration is also undermining its own efforts to repair the harm inflicted by the Trump administration’s anti-immigrant agenda as well as its promise to hold law enforcement accountable for violating the law,” Shah continued. “The Biden administration should immediately cease working with these agencies, whose conduct is antithetical to the Biden administration’s vision for the country.” Click here to send the president a message urging him to end ICE’s harmful 287(g) program.

RELATED STORIES: Georgia county’s new Democratic sheriff ends flawed and racist ICE agreement on first day in office

House Democrats urge Homeland Security to end department’s racist and flawed agreements with police

Jury will soon put 'self-defense' theory to test in trial of ex-cop charged with assaulting police

Jury will soon put 'self-defense' theory to test in trial of ex-cop charged with assaulting police 5

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Grasping for a favorable verdict, ex-cop Thomas Webster has told jurors trying his case in Washington, D.C., that when he came to the Capitol on Jan. 6 and proceeded to charge a police officer with a metal pole before tackling him and choking him, it was just self-defense. 

The 56-year-old and his attorney have relied on Webster’s experience as a former U.S. Marine and 20-year veteran of the New York Police Department to convince jurors that his conduct that day was the rational response of an otherwise upstanding man provoked by “rogue” police who invited him to brawl. 

But prosecutors have shown jurors evidence and presented testimony that they say depicts Webster clearly and only in the light that the cameras caught him in: raging, screaming, and cursing at outnumbered police who were separated from the mob by little more than bike rack barricades. 

Jan. 6 defendant and ex-cop Thomas Webster is seen here, according to prosecutors, pinning Metropolitan Police Officer Noah Rathbun to the ground during the assault of the U.S. Capitol. (Attribution: Court records)

Webster’s trial is the sixth trial connected to the Capitol attack to go forward and he is the second police officer to face a jury. Prosecutors have indicted Webster on a half dozen counts including felony assault of law enforcement while using a dangerous weapon, engaging in violence with a deadly weapon, entering a restricted area, and more. 

Webster Criminal Complaint by Daily Kos on Scribd

According to WUSA9 reporter Jordan Fischer, when he took the stand this week, Webster said that by the time he arrived on foot at the Capitol, he “immediately” saw “weeping children” and an elderly couple who had been injured. The woman, Webster said, had blood strewn about her face, and that enraged him. 

“Why are they doing this to us?” Webster said Thursday, describing his thought process at the moment to jurors.

Webster testified that after he moved through the crowd—to begin helping people, he claimed—once making it to the front line, he was greeted by an unwelcoming band of police, including Metropolitan Police Department officer Noah Rathbun. 

Here’s where the Marine thing comes back again: “He looked up at my flag and started pushing me. After he looked up at my flag I figured maybe he had something against the Marines.”

— Jordan Fischer (@JordanOnRecord) April 28, 2022

According to BuzzFeed reporter Zoe Tillman, Webster told jurors the reason he pushed up against the police line was that he wanted to learn why people had been injured further behind him in the crowd though he did not say whether he actually witnessed anyone being assaulted by police.

– In the video, he emerges from the crowd and starts yelling at officers, gesturing at them. He says he was angry b/c he saw where the police line was and didn’t understand why people were being injured farther back in the crowd (he didn’t say he saw ppl being assaulted by cops)

— Zoe Tillman (@ZoeTillman) April 28, 2022

In the body camera footage recorded by Metropolitan Police, Webster is seen approaching the barricade fast, thrusting his finger through the crowd and pointing at officers. 

His voice is ragged as he screams at them. 

“You fucking piece of shit. You fucking commie motherfuckers man. Gonna attack Americans? Fuck that,” Webster says. “Fucking commie fuck. Come on, take your shit off. Take your shit off. You communist motherfuckers. Fuck you.” 

Webster then clenches the bike rack barricade with one hand, the metal pole in another, and shoves the rack in the direction of police, appearing to trigger a wave of reactions around him by other rioters as he proceeds next to lunge toward Rathbun with the metal pole. 

Webster said he shoved the bike rack out of frustration and told jurors that Rathbun’s attempt to strike him moments before he whipped the pole around was what started the conflict. 

Rathbun has denied ever striking him but admitted that his open hand brushed Webster’s face when he attempted to push the 56-year-old ex-cop away.

Webster said that open-handed contact felt like a “punch” delivered by a “freight train.”

– Webster says he swung his Marine flag at the officers to defend himself and let Rathbun know the officer couldn’t hit him again, but he intentionally made a point of not actually hitting the officers with the flagpole. He says he let Rathbun disarm him of the pole

— Zoe Tillman (@ZoeTillman) April 28, 2022

Defense attorney James Monroe argued this week that jurors should be skeptical of Rathbun because he failed to report the altercation with Webster from Jan. 6 but did file reports over an injury to his hand from an unrelated scrap in the Capitol rotunda. 

Monroe said the federal prosecutor’s case was “built on the lies of a young officer.”

A detective on the Metropolitan Police force who studied the assault of police at the Capitol on Jan. 6, Jonathan Lauderdale, according to BuzzFeed, praised Rathbun at the trial for using restraint when Webster attacked him with the pole.

And though the detective did not initially see the brief moment in the footage where Rathbun’s open hand touched Webster’s face, he told jurors Rathbun using a hand to create space between himself and the defendant would not have violated any use of force policies. 

Jurors were also asked to assess Webster’s hands from the day and in particular in a moment where the former Marine is seen standing over Rathbun after knocking him to the ground. 

Webster claimed an image of him with his hands pressed up against Rathbun’s face and mask was merely an example of him trying to show Rathbun where his hands were.

He reportedly told jurors Thursday that in his experience as a police officer, when engaging with nervous or unpredictable people, making the hands visible might remove tension from the situation.

Jury will soon put 'self-defense' theory to test in trial of ex-cop charged with assaulting police 6
Thomas Webster told jurors that at the moment pictured here, he was showing his hands to the officer to reassure him that he didn’t have a weapon. Prosecutors say this wast the moment Webster tried to rip Rathbun’s gas mask and helmet from his face after Rathbun managed to get Webster’s metal pole away from him. 

This story is developing.